洪加诚

Jiacheng Hong

Postdoctoral researcher in Physical Oceanography
Second Institute of Oceanography, MNR, China

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About Me

I am a postdoctoral researcher at the Second Institute of Oceanography, Ministry of Natural Resources, China. My research focuses on tropical cyclone dynamics and climatology — including TC intensification mechanisms, outer-region size growth, and machine learning applications for TC forecasting. I combine theory, observational data analysis, and machine learning to address these problems. Feel free to reach out if you share these interests.

Education

Shanghai Jiao Tong University

PhD in Physical Oceanography · Advisor: Prof. Qiaoyan Wu

2021 – 2025

Second Institute of Oceanography, MNR

M.Sc. in Physical Oceanography · Advisor: Prof. Qiaoyan Wu

2018 – 2021

Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology

B.Sc. in Atmospheric Science

2014 – 2018

Research

My work aims to understand the mechanisms governing tropical cyclone intensification, structure, and variability — across diurnal to climate timescales.

Diurnal Variations in Tropical Cyclones

The diurnal cycle is a fundamental mode of climate system variability, and numerous aspects of TCs exhibit diurnal fluctuations. Our work has shown that TC formation, intensification, RMW contraction, and 34-kt wind radius (R34) growth all exhibit nocturnal preference, with peak change rates at 0300–0900 LST for rapidly intensifying storms — linked to the greatest coverage of very deep convective clouds at 0300–0600 LST. These results highlight the critical role of radiative forcing on TC intensity and structure.

Rapid Intensification of Tropical Cyclones

Rapid intensification (RI) — defined as an intensity increase exceeding 30 kt in 24 h — is experienced by most category 4–5 hurricanes at least once. We find that RI-favorable environments are modulated by global climate variability. Beyond large-scale conditions, convective bursts are critical triggers for RI. To advance RI prediction in North Atlantic TCs, we developed a machine learning model integrating 6-hourly SHIPS predictors with very deep convective cloud data (IR brightness temperatures < 208 K). The ML model outperforms operational forecasts at key thresholds, demonstrating the potential of hourly cloud observations — with their pronounced diurnal signals — to improve RI forecasting.

TC Outer Region Size Growth

The destructive potential of TCs depends on both intensity and outer-region size. Our research reveals that while both intensification and R34 growth are linked to very deep convection, their effects differ by convective location. TC fullness serves as a reliable indicator of convective spatial distribution, reflecting the coupling between wind structure and convective activity. In low-fullness storms, deep convection near R34 enhances low-level angular momentum flux, promoting outer size growth; in high-fullness storms, deep convection concentrates near the center with smaller RMW, facilitating intensification. These findings illuminate the importance of wind structure in modulating TC intensity and size evolution.

Publications

For a complete list, see ResearchGate.

Published

Hong, J. and Wu, Q. Diurnal variations in tropical cyclone formation and associated convective features. Geophysical Research Letters, 51, e2024GL111413, 2024. DOI
Wu, Q., Luo, T., and Hong, J. Incorporating Hourly Convective Cloud Data Into Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Forecasting With Machine Learning. Journal of Geophysical Research: Machine Learning and Computation, 2, e2025JH000595, 2025. DOI
Hong, J. and Wu, Q. Tropical Cyclone Fullness and Outer Region Size Growth: The Role of Spatial Distribution of Very Deep Convection. Geophysical Research Letters, 50, e2023GL105956, 2023. DOI
Hong, J. and Wu, Q. Diurnal Variations of Tropical Cyclone Outer Region Size Growth. Atmospheric Science Letters, e1183, 2023. DOI
Wang, H., Wu, Q., and Hong, J. Climate Control of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Frequency in the North Indian Ocean. Environmental Research Communications, 4, 121004, 2022. DOI
Wu, Q. and Hong, J. Diurnal variations in contraction of the radius of maximum tangential wind in tropical cyclones. Geophysical Research Letters, 49(3), 2022. DOI
Hong, J. and Wu, Q. Modulation of global sea surface temperature on tropical cyclone rapid intensification frequency. Environmental Research Communications, 3(4), 2021. DOI
Wu, Q., Hong, J., and Ruan, Z. Diurnal Variations in Tropical Cyclone Intensification. Geophysical Research Letters, 47(23), 2020. DOI

Code & Tools

Python Xarray PyTorch MATLAB

I believe open access to research code is essential for scientific reproducibility. My analysis scripts and machine learning models are available on GitHub .

Python has become my primary tool — its rich ecosystem (xarray, scikit-learn, PyTorch) enables efficient workflows from satellite data processing to deep learning model development.